2028 presidential election / Rubio vs. Ocasio-Cortez

Rubio 45.9%, Ocasio-Cortez 40.2%

PollCheck average of national polls from the last 180 days. Updated November 9, 2026.

Marco RubioMarco Rubio
Republican
45.9%
Alexandria Ocasio-CortezAlexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Democrat
40.2%
MarginR+5.74 of 4 polls used
Every poll

4 national polls

Newest first.

DatesPollsterSampleRubioOcasio-CortezMarginUndec.Source
Nov 9, 2026PollCheck average4 of 4 polls used4 of 4 polls45.940.2R+5.7
Oct 30-Nov 5, 2026McLaughlin & AssociatesOct 30-Nov 5, 2026 · 1,000 LV · Poll1,000 LV4838R+1014Poll
Oct 2-4, 2026YouGovUMass/YouGovOct 2-4, 2026 · 1,000 LV · Poll1,000 LV4343Tied14Poll
Aug 16-17, 2026Emerson CollegeAug 16-17, 2026 · 1,000 LV · Poll1,000 LV4843R+58Poll
Jul 1-4, 2026Zogby AnalyticsJul 1-4, 2026 · 1,003 LV · Poll1,003 LV3938R+123Poll
Vance vs. Ocasio-CortezRubio vs. NewsomRubio vs. HarrisRubio vs. OssoffAll pairings
How the average works
The average uses polls from the last 180 days, weighting recent and larger polls more. Each polling house counts once, and partisan-sponsored polls (R or D) count half. Where a poll reports several populations, likely voters are used first. A match-up needs 3 polls from 2 polling houses for an average.

Poll lists adapted from Wikipedia: Nationwide opinion polling for the 2028 United States presidential election (revision 1384610890). Licensed under CC BY-SA 4.0; PollCheck averages are derived from them.

Photos: official portraits, public domain (US government); see Photo credits.

Data through November 9, 2026.