Vance at 37%, Harris at 24%
PollCheck averages of national primary polls. Updated November 9, 2026.
Republican primary
National, 11 polls in 60 days
JD Vance37.4%▼0.9
Marco Rubio24.8%▲6.8
Donald Trump Jr.10.4%▼2.0
Ron DeSantis7.6%▼0.7
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.4.8%▼0.5
Nikki Haley4.1%▲0.3
Democratic primary
National, 14 polls in 60 days
Kamala Harris23.9%▼5.1
Gavin Newsom14.3%▼1.0
Pete Buttigieg12.2%▲0.9
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez12.1%▲2.6
Jon Ossoff10.1%▲2.1
Mark Kelly7.2%▲0.6
States with polls in the last 180 days
Polls in the last 180 days.
Republican
- Florida3Vance 35.2%
- Georgia1
- Minnesota2
- New Hampshire5Vance 37.8%
- North Carolina1
- Ohio1
- Tennessee2
- Texas2
Older polls only: California, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Nevada, South Carolina and Vermont.
Democratic
- California1
- Florida1
- Georgia1
- Massachusetts1
- Michigan1
- Minnesota1
- New Hampshire4Buttigieg 29.8%
- North Carolina1
- Ohio1
- Tennessee1
- Texas2
Older polls only: Alaska, Maine, Nevada and Vermont.
How the average works
Decided voters only, rescaled to 100. The average uses polls from the last 60 days, weighting recent and larger polls more; partisan polls (R or D) count half. A poll that leaves out a candidate averaging 15% or more is not used.
Questions
Who is ahead in 2028 Republican primary polls?
In the PollCheck average of national polls as of November 9, 2026: JD Vance 37.4%, Marco Rubio 24.8%, Donald Trump Jr. 10.4%.
Who is ahead in 2028 Democratic primary polls?
In the PollCheck average of national polls as of November 9, 2026: Kamala Harris 23.9%, Gavin Newsom 14.3%, Pete Buttigieg 12.2%.
How many polls are in the averages?
Republican: 11 national polls from 8 pollsters in the last 60 days. Democratic: 14 national polls from 11 pollsters in the last 60 days.
Poll lists adapted from Wikipedia: Nationwide opinion polling for the 2028 Republican Party presidential primaries (revision 1384224925) - Statewide opinion polling for the 2028 Republican Party presidential primaries (revision 1383421160) - Nationwide opinion polling for the 2028 Democratic Party presidential primaries (revision 1384490676) - Statewide opinion polling for the 2028 Democratic Party presidential primaries (revision 1383986109). Licensed under CC BY-SA 4.0; PollCheck averages are derived from them.
Photos: Donald Trump Jr. by Gage Skidmore from Surprise, AZ, United States of America, CC BY-SA 4.0 (source, cropped); Gavin Newsom by Charles Ommanney - Office of the Governor of California, CC BY-SA 4.0 (source, cropped); others official portraits, public domain (US government); see Photo credits.
Data through November 9, 2026.