2028 primaries / Democratic


Harris first in the Democratic field at 24%

PollCheck average of national Democratic primary polls. Updated November 9, 2026.

Republican primary2028 general electionCandidatesAll primaries

All candidates

Average share in 14 polls from the last 60 days, with the change over 30 days.

  1. Kamala HarrisKamala Harris23.9%▼5.1
  2. Gavin NewsomGavin Newsom14.3%▼1.0
  3. Pete ButtigiegPete Buttigieg12.2%▲0.9
  4. Alexandria Ocasio-CortezAlexandria Ocasio-Cortez12.1%▲2.6
  5. Jon OssoffJon Ossoff10.1%▲2.1
  6. Mark KellyMark Kelly7.2%▲0.6
  7. Josh ShapiroJosh Shapiro4.9%▼0.5
  8. JB Pritzker3.5%▲0.1
  9. Andy Beshear2.9%▼0.4
  10. Cory BookerCory Booker2.0%▼1.5

National Democratic primary polling average


138 national Democratic primary polls

Newest first. A dash means the candidate was not asked.

PollsterDatesSampleHarrisNewsomButtigiegOcasio-CortezOssoffKellyShapiroPritzkerUndec.Source
McLaughlin & AssociatesOct 30 - Nov 5, 2026 · 471 LV · WikiOct 30 - Nov 5, 2026471 LV28%16%9%9%-7%6%3%12%Wiki
AtlasIntelOct 28 - Nov 1, 2026 · 3,566 LV · WikiOct 28 - Nov 1, 20263,566 LV12.6%9%15.8%17.6%18.2%9.1%3.4%2.5%2.3%Wiki
Harvard CAPS/HarrisOct 24-26, 2026 · - RV · WikiOct 24-26, 2026- RV34%20%10%11%6%-7%5%-Wiki
LegerOct 23-25, 2026 · 375 A · WikiOct 23-25, 2026375 A22%11%8%7%6%-7%5%-Wiki
Echelon InsightsOct 15-19, 2026 · 522 LV · WikiOct 15-19, 2026522 LV19%14%13%13%5%7%4%2%7%Wiki
New York Times/SienaOct 12-19, 2026 · 1,170 RV · WikiOct 12-19, 20261,170 RV12%9%7%6%4%3%1%2%45%Wiki
Noble Predictive InsightsOct 5-7, 2026 · 1,171 RV · WikiOct 5-7, 20261,171 RV29%14%10%9%8%6%5%3%12%Wiki
FocaldataSep 26-28, 2026 · 778 LV · WikiSep 26-28, 2026778 LV30%15%9%9%8%5%5%-14%Wiki
Harvard CAPS/HarrisSep 26-28, 2026 · - RV · WikiSep 26-28, 2026- RV38%17%11%12%6%-7%5%-Wiki
McLaughlin & AssociatesSep 16-22, 2026 · 463 LV · WikiSep 16-22, 2026463 LV29%12%9%8%-8%5%2%15%Wiki
Echelon InsightsSep 17-21, 2026 · 491 LV · WikiSep 17-21, 2026491 LV24%14%10%7%8%7%3%-14%Wiki
Big Data PollSep 13-15, 2026 · 1,329 LV · WikiSep 13-15, 20261,329 LV27%16%10%10%6%5%5%-11%Wiki
How the average works

Decided voters only, rescaled to 100. The average uses polls from the last 60 days, weighting recent and larger polls more; partisan polls (R or D) count half. A poll that leaves out a candidate averaging 15% or more is not used.

Questions

Who is ahead in 2028 Democratic primary polls?

In the PollCheck average of national polls as of November 9, 2026: Kamala Harris 23.9%, Gavin Newsom 14.3%, Pete Buttigieg 12.2%.

How many polls are in the average?

14 polls from 11 pollsters that ended in the last 60 days. All 138 national polls are listed on the page, each linked to its source.

Poll lists adapted from Wikipedia: Nationwide opinion polling for the 2028 Democratic Party presidential primaries (revision 1384490676). Licensed under CC BY-SA 4.0; PollCheck averages are derived from them.

Photos: Gavin Newsom by Charles Ommanney - Office of the Governor of California, CC BY-SA 4.0 (source, cropped); Josh Shapiro by Maryland GovPics, CC BY 2.0 (source, cropped); others official portraits, public domain (US government); see Photo credits.

Data through November 9, 2026.