US / US midterms 2026 / Tennessee governor
Tennessee governor
Tennessee Governor 2026 results: Marsha Blackburn (R) vs Jerri Green (D)
Election day 3 November 2026
Result
Result so far: 90% reporting
DDHQ projects Marsha Blackburn (R), 12:37 am Wed ET
Marsha Blackburn R45.5%
955,298 votes
Jerri Green D43.0%
902,615 votes
David Hatley I9.3%
195,288 votes
Lauren Pinkston I1.2%
26,186 votes
Dean Brewer I0.2%
4,095 votes
Misam Abidi I0.2%
3,398 votes
Ray Brown I0.1%
2,869 votes
Wendell Jackson I0.1%
2,365 votes
Eddie Lee Murphy I0.1%
2,293 votes
Robert Vick I0.1%
2,240 votes
Others O0.1%
1,687 votes
Charles Van Morgan I0.1%
1,317 votes
L. Webb Taylor I0.1%
1,118 votes
Karl Smithson I0.0%
494 votes
civicAPI, Nov 9, 1:59 am ET (6:59 am UK).
Final pre-election PollCheck polling average
Marsha Blackburn (R)
44.3%
Jerri Green (D)
33.3%
David Hatley (I)
15.0%
Win probability
98%
Blackburn - Safe R
- Incumbent
- Bill Lee (R)
- Status
- Incumbent term-limited
- Last result
- 2022: Bill Lee (R) 64.9%, Jason Martin (D) 32.9%
- 2024 president
- R+29.7
- Election day
- 3 November 2026, polls close 8 pm Eastern (1 am Wed UK)
Polling trend
Tennessee governor polling average
Every poll
8 general election polls
| Pollster | Fieldwork | Sample | Blackburn | Green | Hatley | Spread | vs avg | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Targoz Market Research Leans R+2.2Poll sponsored by the Beacon Center of Tennessee | 24 Oct 2026 - 2 Nov 2026 | 718 LV | 54% | 35% | 7% | Blackburn +19 | Blackburn +8.0 | Pollster |
| GOTV Polling I↑ Poll sponsored by Hatley's campaign; Poll sponsored by Hatley for Governor | 25 Oct 2026 - 26 Oct 2026 | 1,196 V | 35% | 30% | 26% | Blackburn +5 | Blackburn -3.6 | Pollster |
| Spry Strategies R | 10 Oct 2026 - 15 Oct 2026 | 635 LV | 44% | 32% | 12% | Blackburn +12 | Blackburn -0.2 | Pollster |
| TargetSmart↑ Poll sponsored by The Progress Fund, which supports Green | 9 Sep 2026 - 12 Sep 2026 | 600 LV | 45% | 36% | 10% | Blackburn +9 | Pollster | |
| Targoz Market Research Leans R+2.2Poll sponsored by the Beacon Center of TennesseeNot in average: same survey, likely voter version used | 15 Aug 2026 - 26 Aug 2026 | 1,149 RV | 46% | 33% | - | Blackburn +13 | Pollster | |
| Targoz Market Research Leans R+2.2Poll sponsored by the Beacon Center of Tennessee | 15 Aug 2026 - 26 Aug 2026 | 601 LV | 55% | 34% | - | Blackburn +21 | Pollster | |
| Targoz Market Research Leans R+2.2Poll sponsored by the Beacon Center of TennesseeNot in average: taken before the primary (6 August) | 20 Apr 2026 - 27 Apr 2026 | 1,200 RV | 51% | 27% | - | Blackburn +24 | Pollster | |
| Quantus Insights R Leans R+1.4Not in average: taken before the primary (6 August) | 5 Aug 2025 - 7 Aug 2025 | 600 RV | 49% | 28% | - | Blackburn +21 | Pollster |
More on Tennessee
Tennessee Senate results
Tennessee voter registration
Tennessee state legislature and officials
Tennessee supreme court
Tennessee past election results
Tennessee House districts
More on the 2026 midterms
More races
Oregon - Nevada - Georgia - Vermont - Kansas - Ohio - Texas - Wisconsin - Florida - Oklahoma - New Mexico - Iowa - Michigan - Nebraska - Arizona - Alaska - Maine - New Hampshire - Minnesota - Alabama - South Carolina - New York - Rhode Island - Connecticut - Colorado - South Dakota - Idaho - Illinois - California - Massachusetts - Pennsylvania
Poll list adapted from Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0).