US / US midterms 2026 / Texas governor
Texas governor
Texas Governor 2026 results: Greg Abbott (R) vs Gina Hinojosa (D)
Election day 3 November 2026
Result
Result so far: 99% reporting
DDHQ projects Gina Hinojosa (D), 12:01 am Wed ET
Democratic gain from Republicans
Gina Hinojosa D52.8%
5,232,648 votes
Greg Abbott R45.7%
4,525,858 votes
Pat Dixon L1.5%
148,136 votes
Others O0.1%
6,322 votes
civicAPI, Nov 9, 1:56 am ET (6:56 am UK).
Final pre-election PollCheck polling average
Greg Abbott (R)
49.0%
+0.8 in 30 days
Gina Hinojosa (D)
46.6%
+1.2 in 30 days
Pat Dixon (L)
1.9%
-0.9 in 30 days
Win probability
81%
Abbott - Likely R
- Incumbent
- Greg Abbott (R)
- Status
- Incumbent renominated
- Last result
- 2022: Greg Abbott (R) 54.8%, Beto O'Rourke (D) 43.9%
- 2024 president
- R+13.7
- Election day
- 3 November 2026, polls close 8 pm and 9 pm Eastern (1 am and 2 am Wed UK)
Polling trend
Texas governor polling average
Every poll
79 general election polls
| Pollster | Fieldwork | Sample | Abbott | Hinojosa | Dixon | Spread | vs avg | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Research Co. Leans D+0.1 | 31 Oct 2026 - 2 Nov 2026 | 450 LV | 46% | 44% | 2% | Abbott +2 | Abbott -0.4 | Pollster |
| AtlasIntel Leans D+3.5 | 28 Oct 2026 - 1 Nov 2026 | 1,678 LV | 48% | 49% | - | Hinojosa +1 | Abbott -3.4 | Pollster |
| New York Times / Siena University Leans D+1.0 | 27 Oct 2026 - 1 Nov 2026 | 1,215 LV | 47% | 48% | - | Hinojosa +1 | Abbott -3.4 | Pollster |
| Emerson College/Poll Vault Leans R+0.2Poll sponsored by Poll Vault | 31 Oct 2026 - 1 Nov 2026 | 500 LV | 49.7% | 48.9% | 1.4% | Abbott +0.8 | Abbott -1.6 | Pollster |
| HarrisX Leans R+1.1 | 30 Oct 2026 - 1 Nov 2026 | 512 LV | 51% | 46% | - | Abbott +5 | Abbott +2.6 | Pollster |
| Kreate Strategies Leans R+0.4 | 27 Oct 2026 - 30 Oct 2026 | 900 LV | 49% | 47% | 1% | Abbott +2 | Abbott -0.5 | Pollster |
| YouGov Leans D+0.4 | 26 Oct 2026 - 29 Oct 2026 | 2,141 LV | 50% | 49% | - | Abbott +1 | Abbott -1.6 | Pollster |
| ActiVote Leans R+0.5 | 23 Oct 2026 - 29 Oct 2026 | 400 LV | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | Abbott +4.2 | Abbott +1.6 | Pollster |
| Quantus Insights R Leans R+1.4 | 26 Oct 2026 - 28 Oct 2026 | 1,221 LV | 51% | 46% | 1% | Abbott +5 | Abbott +2.5 | Pollster |
| SSRS Leans D+0.8↑ "CNN poll conducted by SSRS Texas October" . CNN . October 29, 2026 . Retrieved October 29, 2026 – via DocumentCloud .; ↑ Poll conducted for CNN | 20 Oct 2026 - 27 Oct 2026 | 923 LV | 48% | 46% | - | Abbott +2 | Abbott -0.5 | Pollster |
| Data for Progress D Leans D+0.2 | 23 Oct 2026 - 26 Oct 2026 | 712 LV | 48% | 47% | 2% | Abbott +1 | Abbott -1.5 | Pollster |
| YouGov Blue D Leans D+1.5↑ Poll conducted on behalf of 254 Labs | 21 Oct 2026 - 26 Oct 2026 | 1,000 RV | 46% | 49% | - | Hinojosa +3 | Abbott -5.5 | Pollster |
| Texas Southern University Leans R+0.8 | 21 Oct 2026 - 25 Oct 2026 | 2,000 LV | 50% | 47% | 2% | Abbott +3 | Abbott +0.2 | Pollster |
| ActiVote Leans R+0.5 | 17 Oct 2026 - 21 Oct 2026 | 400 LV | 52% | 48% | - | Abbott +4 | Abbott +1.2 | Pollster |
| Univision / YouGov Leans D+0.4 | 13 Oct 2026 - 21 Oct 2026 | 1,000 RV | 48% | 46% | - | Abbott +2 | Abbott -0.8 | Pollster |
| Verasight/VoteHub Leans D+1.6 | 1 Oct 2026 - 20 Oct 2026 | 509 LV | 48% | 46% | 1% | Abbott +2 | Abbott -0.8 | Pollster |
| Verasight/VoteHub Leans D+1.6Not in average: same survey, another version used | 1 Oct 2026 - 20 Oct 2026 | 509 LV | 46% | 44% | 2% | Abbott +2 | Abbott -0.8 | Pollster |
| Verasight/VoteHub Leans D+1.6Not in average: same survey, likely voter version used | 1 Oct 2026 - 20 Oct 2026 | 517 RV | 48% | 45% | 1% | Abbott +3 | Abbott +0.2 | Pollster |
| Verasight/VoteHub Leans D+1.6Not in average: same survey, likely voter version used | 1 Oct 2026 - 20 Oct 2026 | 517 RV | 46% | 42% | 5% | Abbott +4 | Abbott +1.2 | Pollster |
| Emerson College Leans R+0.2 | 17 Oct 2026 - 19 Oct 2026 | 1,000 LV | 49% | 45% | 1% | Abbott +4 | Abbott +1.3 | Pollster |
| Beacon Research (D)/ Shaw & Co. Research (R) Leans D+0.3Poll conducted for Fox NewsNot in average: same survey, likely voter version used | 15 Oct 2026 - 19 Oct 2026 | 2,011 RV | 50% | 49% | - | Abbott +1 | Abbott -1.7 | Pollster |
| Beacon Research (D)/ Shaw & Co. Research (R) Leans D+0.3Poll conducted for Fox News | 15 Oct 2026 - 19 Oct 2026 | 1,398 LV | 52% | 47% | - | Abbott +5 | Abbott +2.3 | Pollster |
| Texas Public Opinion Research Leans D+0.9 | 15 Oct 2026 - 18 Oct 2026 | 969 LV | 51% | 48% | 1% | Abbott +3 | Abbott +0.4 | Pollster |
| Pollfinity Research Leans D+0.6 | 15 Oct 2026 - 18 Oct 2026 | 278 RV | 46% | 45% | 2% | Abbott +1 | Abbott -1.6 | Pollster |
| CBS News / YouGov Leans D+0.4 | 8 Oct 2026 - 16 Oct 2026 | 1,492 LV | 52% | 48% | - | Abbott +4 | Abbott +1.4 | Pollster |
| University of Houston Leans R+0.3 | 10 Oct 2026 - 14 Oct 2026 | 2,000 LV | 49% | 46% | 2% | Abbott +3 | Abbott +0.7 | Pollster |
| ActiVote Leans R+0.5 | 30 Sep 2026 - 14 Oct 2026 | 400 LV | 51% | 49% | - | Abbott +2 | Abbott -0.3 | Pollster |
| GS Strategy Group (R)/New River Strategies (D) Leans D+1.0↑ Poll sponsored by The Cook Political Report . | 9 Oct 2026 - 13 Oct 2026 | 934 LV | 48% | 46% | 3% | Abbott +2 | Abbott -0.4 | Pollster |
| Marist University Leans D+1.6 | 8 Oct 2026 - 11 Oct 2026 | - LV | 49% | 45% | - | Abbott +4 | Abbott +1.8 | Pollster |
| Marist University Leans D+1.6Not in average: same survey, likely voter version used | 8 Oct 2026 - 11 Oct 2026 | 1,196 RV | 48% | 47% | - | Abbott +1 | Abbott -1.2 | Pollster |
| GBAO D Leans D+1.7Poll sponsored by Hinojosa's campaign | 5 Oct 2026 - 8 Oct 2026 | 800 LV | 45% | 47% | 4% | Hinojosa +2 | Abbott -4.0 | Pollster |
| ReconMR/ Siena University Leans D+1.0 | 5 Oct 2026 - 8 Oct 2026 | 617 LV | 48% | 47% | - | Abbott +1 | Abbott -1.0 | Pollster |
| YouGov Leans D+0.4 | 28 Sep 2026 - 5 Oct 2026 | 3,625 LV | 47% | 48% | - | Hinojosa +1 | Abbott -3.0 | Pollster |
| University of Texas /Texas Politics Project Leans D+0.1 | 25 Sep 2026 - 5 Oct 2026 | 861 LV | 48% | 49% | 1% | Hinojosa +1 | Abbott -3.0 | Pollster |
| New York Times / Siena University Leans D+1.0 | 22 Sep 2026 - 1 Oct 2026 | 615 LV | 46% | 49% | - | Hinojosa +3 | Abbott -5.8 | Pollster |
| Beacon Research (D)/ Shaw & Co. Research (R) Leans D+0.3Poll conducted for Fox News | 24 Sep 2026 - 28 Sep 2026 | 1,005 LV | 52% | 47% | - | Abbott +5 | Abbott +2.0 | Pollster |
| Beacon Research (D)/ Shaw & Co. Research (R) Leans D+0.3Poll conducted for Fox NewsNot in average: same survey, likely voter version used | 24 Sep 2026 - 28 Sep 2026 | 1,203 RV | 50% | 49% | - | Abbott +1 | Abbott -2.0 | Pollster |
| Guidant Polling & Strategy Leans R+0.0↑ Poll sponsored by Public First Action | 20 Sep 2026 - 28 Sep 2026 | 800 LV | 46% | 44% | 4% | Abbott +2 | Abbott -1.0 | Pollster |
| UMass Lowell / YouGov Leans D+0.4 | 18 Sep 2026 - 28 Sep 2026 | 850 LV | 48% | 44% | 1% | Abbott +4 | Abbott +1.0 | Pollster |
| Big Data Poll Leans D+0.5 | 24 Sep 2026 - 26 Sep 2026 | 698 LV | 49% | 44% | 6% | Abbott +5 | Abbott +2.3 | Pollster |
| Big Data Poll Leans D+0.5Not in average: same survey, another version used | 24 Sep 2026 - 26 Sep 2026 | 698 LV | 47% | 44% | 4% | Abbott +3 | Abbott +0.3 | Pollster |
| Big Data Poll Leans D+0.5Not in average: same survey, likely voter version used | 24 Sep 2026 - 26 Sep 2026 | 793 RV | 48% | 44% | 8% | Abbott +4 | Abbott +1.3 | Pollster |
| Big Data Poll Leans D+0.5Not in average: same survey, likely voter version used | 24 Sep 2026 - 26 Sep 2026 | 793 RV | 46% | 43% | 4% | Abbott +3 | Abbott +0.3 | Pollster |
| Stratus Intelligence R Leans R+1.1 | 22 Sep 2026 - 24 Sep 2026 | 865 LV | 50% | 45% | - | Abbott +5 | Abbott +2.7 | Pollster |
| Texas Public Opinion Research Leans D+0.9 | 19 Sep 2026 - 22 Sep 2026 | 1,007 LV | 50% | 46% | 2% | Abbott +4 | Abbott +1.8 | Pollster |
| Marist University Leans D+1.6 | 17 Sep 2026 - 20 Sep 2026 | 1,139 RV | 46% | 49% | - | Hinojosa +3 | Abbott -5.1 | Pollster |
| Texas Southern University Leans R+0.8 | 15 Sep 2026 - 19 Sep 2026 | 1,800 LV | 49% | 45% | 2% | Abbott +4 | Abbott +1.2 | Pollster |
| Emerson College Leans R+0.2 | 12 Sep 2026 - 14 Sep 2026 | 1,000 LV | 49% | 46% | 2% | Abbott +3 | Abbott +0.2 | Pollster |
| SoCal Strategies R Leans R+1.0 | 12 Sep 2026 - 13 Sep 2026 | 649 LV | 52% | 44% | - | Abbott +8 | Abbott +5.2 | Pollster |
| ReconMR/ Siena University Leans D+1.0 | 8 Sep 2026 - 11 Sep 2026 | 614 LV | 45% | 49% | - | Hinojosa +4 | Abbott -6.7 | Pollster |
| Mason-Dixon Leans R+0.9 | 8 Sep 2026 - 10 Sep 2026 | 625 LV | 48% | 41% | 1% | Abbott +7 | Abbott +3.3 | Pollster |
| Univision / YouGov Leans D+0.4 | 27 Aug 2026 - 4 Sep 2026 | 1,000 RV | 47% | 47% | - | Tie | Abbott -3.2 | Pollster |
| Fabrizio Ward (R)/ Impact Research (D) Leans D+0.8↑ Poll commissioned by AARP | 30 Aug 2026 - 1 Sep 2026 | 895 LV | 49% | 46% | - | Abbott +3 | Abbott -1.0 | Pollster |
| Overton Insights R Leans D+0.1↑ Poll sponsored by Texas Public Policy Foundation | 24 Aug 2026 - 26 Aug 2026 | 1,167 LV | 51% | 49% | - | Abbott +2 | Abbott -2.0 | Pollster |
| Overton Insights R Leans D+0.1↑ Poll sponsored by Texas Public Policy FoundationNot in average: same survey, another version used | 24 Aug 2026 - 26 Aug 2026 | 1,167 LV | 47% | 46% | - | Abbott +1 | Abbott -3.0 | Pollster |
| Texas Public Opinion Research Leans D+0.9 | 21 Aug 2026 - 24 Aug 2026 | 1,000 LV | 49% | 42% | 1% | Abbott +7 | Abbott +2.7 | Pollster |
| University of Texas /Texas Politics Project Leans D+0.1 | 5 Aug 2026 - 13 Aug 2026 | 1,200 RV | 45% | 40% | 3% | Abbott +5 | Abbott +1.0 | Pollster |
| Emerson College Leans R+0.2Poll sponsored by Nexstar Media | 9 Aug 2026 - 10 Aug 2026 | 1,000 LV | 49% | 45% | - | Abbott +4 | Abbott +0.1 | Pollster |
| GBAO D Leans D+1.7 | 4 Aug 2026 - 9 Aug 2026 | 1,000 LV | 49% | 48% | - | Abbott +1 | Abbott -2.8 | Pollster |
| Cygnal R Leans D+0.1 | 29 Jul 2026 - 31 Jul 2026 | 800 LV | 49% | 46% | - | Abbott +3 | Abbott -1.1 | Pollster |
| Texas A&M University /ReconMR/ Siena University Leans D+1.0 | 27 Jul 2026 - 30 Jul 2026 | 619 LV | 46% | 45% | - | Abbott +1 | Abbott -3.1 | Pollster |
| Texas Southern University Leans R+0.8 | 27 Jul 2026 - 30 Jul 2026 | 1,200 LV | 49% | 43% | 3% | Abbott +6 | Abbott +1.9 | Pollster |
| Beacon Research (D)/ Shaw & Co. Research (R) Leans D+0.3Poll conducted for Fox News | 23 Jul 2026 - 27 Jul 2026 | 1,005 RV | 50% | 49% | - | Abbott +1 | Abbott -3.4 | Pollster |
| Texas Public Opinion Research Leans D+0.9 | 15 Jul 2026 - 17 Jul 2026 | 1,048 LV | 45% | 42% | - | Abbott +3 | Abbott -3.6 | Pollster |
| New York Times / Siena University Leans D+1.0 | 19 Jun 2026 - 27 Jun 2026 | 656 LV | 51% | 44% | - | Abbott +7 | Abbott -0.4 | Pollster |
| SoCal Strategies R Leans R+1.0↑ Poll sponsored by Red Eagle Politics, a conservative online content creator | 21 Jun 2026 | 800 LV | 54% | 42% | - | Abbott +12 | Abbott +4.8 | Pollster |
| University of Texas /Texas Politics Project Leans D+0.1 | 5 Jun 2026 - 12 Jun 2026 | 1,200 RV | 47% | 40% | 1% | Abbott +7 | Abbott +0.5 | Pollster |
| Quantus Insights R Leans R+1.4 | 3 Jun 2026 - 4 Jun 2026 | 800 LV | 49% | 41% | - | Abbott +8 | Abbott +1.9 | Pollster |
| Texas A&M University /ReconMR | 1 Jun 2026 - 4 Jun 2026 | 807 LV | 49% | 43% | - | Abbott +6 | Abbott -0.1 | Pollster |
| Texas Public Opinion Research Leans D+0.9 | 27 May 2026 - 28 May 2026 | 1,670 LV | 46% | 41% | 1% | Abbott +5 | Pollster | |
| Public Policy Polling D Leans D+0.9↑ Poll commissioned by Lone Star Rising PAC, which supports James Talarico 's campaign for U.S. Senate .Not in average: taken before the primary (26 May) | 22 May 2026 - 23 May 2026 | 643 RV | 48% | 44% | - | Abbott +4 | Pollster | |
| Texas Southern University / YouGov Leans D+0.4Not in average: taken before the primary (26 May) | 22 Apr 2026 - 5 May 2026 | 1,223 LV | 49% | 43% | 3% | Abbott +6 | Pollster | |
| Slingshot Strategies DPoll sponsored by Texas Public Opinion ResearchNot in average: taken before the primary (26 May) | 17 Apr 2026 - 20 Apr 2026 | 1,018 LV | 48% | 43% | - | Abbott +5 | Pollster | |
| University of Texas /Texas Politics Project Leans D+0.1Not in average: taken before the primary (26 May) | 10 Apr 2026 - 20 Apr 2026 | 1,200 RV | 44% | 38% | - | Abbott +6 | Pollster | |
| UT TylerNot in average: taken before the primary (26 May) | 13 Feb 2026 - 22 Feb 2026 | 1,117 RV | 49% | 41% | - | Abbott +8 | Pollster | |
| University of Texas /Texas Politics Project Leans D+0.1Not in average: taken before the primary (26 May) | 2 Feb 2026 - 16 Feb 2026 | 1,300 RV | 45% | 35% | - | Abbott +10 | Pollster | |
| GBAO D Leans D+1.7Poll sponsored by Hinojosa's campaignNot in average: taken before the primary (26 May) | 26 Jan 2026 - 3 Feb 2026 | 1,000 LV | 46% | 43% | 6% | Abbott +3 | Pollster | |
| University of Houston / YouGov Leans D+0.4Not in average: taken before the primary (26 May) | 20 Jan 2026 - 31 Jan 2026 | 1,502 LV | 49% | 42% | 3% | Abbott +7 | Pollster | |
| Emerson College Leans R+0.2Poll sponsored by Nexstar MediaNot in average: taken before the primary (26 May) | 10 Jan 2026 - 12 Jan 2026 | 1,165 RV | 50% | 42% | - | Abbott +8 | Pollster |
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Poll list adapted from Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0).