New Hampshire Governor Election Results 2026: Ayotte vs

Result

Result so far: 91% reporting

DDHQ projects Kelly Ayotte (R), 1:09 am Wed ET

Kelly Ayotte R51.4%

324,846 votes

Cinde Warmington D47.0%

296,773 votes

Others O1.6%

10,362 votes

civicAPI, Nov 9, 1:48 am ET (6:48 am UK).

Final pre-election PollCheck polling average

Kelly Ayotte (R)

50.4%

-0.7 in 30 days

Cinde Warmington (D)

42.5%

+0.5 in 30 days

Win probability

96%

Ayotte - Safe R

Incumbent: Kelly Ayotte (R)
Status: Incumbent renominated
Last result: 2024: Kelly Ayotte (R) 53.6%, Joyce Craig (D) 44.3%
2024 president: D+2.8
Election day: 3 November 2026, polls close 8 pm Eastern (1 am Wed UK)

Polling trend

New Hampshire governor polling average

Every poll

18 general election polls

Pollster	Fieldwork	Sample	Ayotte	Warmington	Spread	vs avg	Source
AtlasIntel Leans D+3.5	28 Oct 2026 - 1 Nov 2026	1,057 LV	50%	44%	Ayotte +6	Ayotte -1.9	Pollster
University of New Hampshire Leans D+2.2	27 Oct 2026 - 31 Oct 2026	2,040 LV	48%	48%	Tie	Ayotte -7.4	Pollster
National Public Affairs R Leans R+2.2	25 Oct 2026 - 29 Oct 2026	800 LV	52%	43%	Ayotte +9	Ayotte +0.4	Pollster
Rasmussen Reports R Leans R+0.9	20 Oct 2026 - 23 Oct 2026	970 LV	52%	42%	Ayotte +10	Ayotte +1.0	Pollster
Saint Anselm College Leans D+0.5	19 Oct 2026 - 20 Oct 2026	1,672 LV	50%	42%	Ayotte +8	Ayotte -1.0	Pollster
UMass Lowell / YouGov Leans D+0.4	2 Oct 2026 - 19 Oct 2026	600 LV	48%	42%	Ayotte +6	Ayotte -2.9	Pollster
National Public Affairs R Leans R+2.2	8 Oct 2026 - 12 Oct 2026	600 LV	54%	38%	Ayotte +16	Ayotte +6.3	Pollster
YouGov Leans D+0.4	28 Sep 2026 - 5 Oct 2026	1,520 LV	49%	40%	Ayotte +9	Ayotte -0.1	Pollster
Saint Anselm College Leans D+0.5↑ Poll sponsored by AARP	28 Sep 2026 - 29 Sep 2026	1,042 LV	52%	45%	Ayotte +7	Ayotte -2.1	Pollster
The New York Times / Siena University Leans D+1.0	15 Sep 2026 - 22 Sep 2026	613 LV	52%	41%	Ayotte +11	Ayotte +1.1	Pollster
University of New Hampshire Leans D+2.2	17 Sep 2026 - 21 Sep 2026	1,418 LV	47%	43%	Ayotte +4		Pollster
co/efficient R Leans R+3.3	9 Sep 2026 - 11 Sep 2026	958 LV	55%	34%	Ayotte +21		Pollster
University of New Hampshire Leans D+2.2Not in average: taken before the primary (8 September)	20 Aug 2026 - 24 Aug 2026	1,878 LV	49%	39%	Ayotte +10		Pollster
Saint Anselm College Leans D+0.5Not in average: taken before the primary (8 September)	17 Aug 2026 - 18 Aug 2026	1,411 LV	49%	38%	Ayotte +11		Pollster
Saint Anselm College Leans D+0.5Not in average: taken before the primary (8 September)	24 Jun 2026 - 25 Jun 2026	1,614 RV	45%	37%	Ayotte +8		Pollster
University of New Hampshire Leans D+2.2Not in average: taken before the primary (8 September)	18 Jun 2026 - 23 Jun 2026	2,232 LV	44%	39%	Ayotte +5		Pollster
University of New Hampshire Leans D+2.2Not in average: taken before the primary (8 September)	17 Apr 2026 - 21 Apr 2026	1,117 LV	47%	39%	Ayotte +8		Pollster
Saint Anselm College Leans D+0.5Not in average: taken before the primary (8 September)	16 Mar 2026 - 18 Mar 2026	1,491 RV	46%	39%	Ayotte +7		Pollster

New Hampshire Governor 2026 results: Kelly Ayotte (R) vs Cinde Warmington (D)

Result so far: 91% reporting

New Hampshire governor polling average

18 general election polls