New Hampshire Senate Election Results 2026: Pappas vs Sununu

Result

Result so far: 92% reporting

DDHQ projects Chris Pappas (D), 8:00 pm ET

Chris Pappas D55.8%

355,898 votes

John E. Sununu R42.1%

268,559 votes

Edmond LaPlante C1.9%

12,089 votes

Others O0.1%

778 votes

civicAPI, Nov 9, 1:48 am ET (6:48 am UK).

Final pre-election PollCheck polling average

Chris Pappas (D)

50.2%

+1.1 in 30 days

John E. Sununu (R)

43.5%

+0.6 in 30 days

Win probability

84%

Pappas - Likely D

Incumbent: Jeanne Shaheen (D)
Status: Incumbent retiring
Last result: 2020: Jeanne Shaheen (D) 56.7%, Corky Messner (R) 41%
2024 president: D+2.8
Election day: 3 November 2026, polls close 8 pm Eastern (1 am Wed UK)

Polling trend

New Hampshire senate polling average

Every poll

35 general election polls

Pollster	Fieldwork	Sample	Pappas	Sununu	Spread	vs avg	Source
AtlasIntel Leans D+3.5	28 Oct 2026 - 1 Nov 2026	1,057 LV	52%	44%	Pappas +8	Pappas +1.3	Pollster
University of New Hampshire Leans D+2.2	27 Oct 2026 - 31 Oct 2026	2,040 LV	54%	42%	Pappas +12	Pappas +4.6	Pollster
National Public Affairs R Leans R+2.2	25 Oct 2026 - 29 Oct 2026	800 LV	51%	45%	Pappas +6	Pappas -0.7	Pollster
Rasmussen Reports R Leans R+0.9	20 Oct 2026 - 23 Oct 2026	970 LV	50%	44%	Pappas +6	Pappas -0.6	Pollster
Saint Anselm College Leans D+0.5	19 Oct 2026 - 20 Oct 2026	1,672 LV	50%	43%	Pappas +7	Pappas +0.4	Pollster
UMass Lowell / YouGov Leans D+0.4	2 Oct 2026 - 19 Oct 2026	600 LV	48%	41%	Pappas +7	Pappas +0.3	Pollster
National Public Affairs R Leans R+2.2	8 Oct 2026 - 12 Oct 2026	600 LV	50%	45%	Pappas +5	Pappas -1.6	Pollster
National Public Affairs R Leans R+2.2Not in average: same survey, another version used	8 Oct 2026 - 12 Oct 2026	600 LV	50%	43%	Pappas +7	Pappas +0.4	Pollster
YouGov Leans D+0.4	28 Sep 2026 - 5 Oct 2026	1,520 LV	51%	43%	Pappas +8	Pappas +1.4	Pollster
Rasmussen Reports R Leans R+0.9	2 Oct 2026 - 4 Oct 2026	979 LV	49%	44%	Pappas +5	Pappas -1.2	Pollster
Saint Anselm College Leans D+0.5↑ Poll sponsored by AARP	28 Sep 2026 - 29 Sep 2026	1,042 LV	51%	44%	Pappas +7	Pappas +0.5	Pollster
Trafalgar Group R Leans R+1.5	26 Sep 2026 - 27 Sep 2026	1,082 LV	47%	41%	Pappas +6	Pappas -0.5	Pollster
New York Times / Siena University Leans D+1.0	15 Sep 2026 - 22 Sep 2026	613 LV	50%	45%	Pappas +5	Pappas -1.3	Pollster
University of New Hampshire Leans D+2.2	17 Sep 2026 - 21 Sep 2026	1,418 LV	50%	42%	Pappas +8	Pappas +1.0	Pollster
InsiderAdvantage R Leans R+1.1	16 Sep 2026 - 17 Sep 2026	1,200 LV	48%	40%	Pappas +8	Pappas -0.2	Pollster
co/efficient R Leans R+3.3	9 Sep 2026 - 11 Sep 2026	958 LV	46%	46%	Tie		Pollster
Rasmussen Reports R Leans R+0.9	8 Sep 2026 - 10 Sep 2026	1,000 LV	45%	34%	Pappas +11		Pollster
Fabrizio, Lee, & Associates R Leans R+0.1Poll sponsored by the NRSCNot in average: taken before the primary (8 September)	27 Aug 2026 - 30 Aug 2026	600 LV	36%	37%	Sununu +1		Pollster
University of New Hampshire Leans D+2.2Not in average: taken before the primary (8 September)	20 Aug 2026 - 24 Aug 2026	1,878 LV	43%	45%	Sununu +2		Pollster
Saint Anselm College Leans D+0.5Not in average: taken before the primary (8 September)	17 Aug 2026 - 18 Aug 2026	1,411 LV	48%	41%	Pappas +7		Pollster
Peak Insights R Leans R+1.9Poll sponsored by the NRSCNot in average: taken before the primary (8 September)	24 Jun 2026 - 27 Jun 2026	500 LV	43%	42%	Pappas +1		Pollster
Saint Anselm College Leans D+0.5Not in average: taken before the primary (8 September)	24 Jun 2026 - 25 Jun 2026	1,614 RV	47%	41%	Pappas +6		Pollster
University of New Hampshire Leans D+2.2Not in average: taken before the primary (8 September)	18 Jun 2026 - 23 Jun 2026	2,232 LV	47%	44%	Pappas +3		Pollster
University of New Hampshire Leans D+2.2Not in average: taken before the primary (8 September)	17 Apr 2026 - 21 Apr 2026	1,295 LV	49%	42%	Pappas +7		Pollster
Emerson College Leans R+0.2Not in average: taken before the primary (8 September)	21 Mar 2026 - 23 Mar 2026	1,000 LV	45%	44%	Pappas +1		Pollster
Saint Anselm College Leans D+0.5Not in average: taken before the primary (8 September)	16 Mar 2026 - 18 Mar 2026	1,491 RV	46%	43%	Pappas +3		Pollster
yes. every kid.Not in average: taken before the primary (8 September)	28 Jan 2026 - 29 Jan 2026	563 LV	45%	41%	Pappas +4		Pollster
University of New Hampshire Leans D+2.2Not in average: taken before the primary (8 September)	15 Jan 2026 - 19 Jan 2026	2,053 LV	50%	45%	Pappas +5		Pollster
NHJournal/Praecones AnalyticaNot in average: taken before the primary (8 September)	26 Dec 2025 - 28 Dec 2025	603 RV	42%	36%	Pappas +6		Pollster
Guidant Polling and Strategy RPoll sponsored by One Nation , a group aligned with the Senate Leadership FundNot in average: taken before the primary (8 September)	9 Dec 2025 - 11 Dec 2025	600 LV	47%	44%	Pappas +3		Pollster
Saint Anselm College Leans D+0.5Not in average: taken before the primary (8 September)	18 Nov 2025 - 19 Nov 2025	2,212 RV	44%	41%	Pappas +3		Pollster
co/efficient R Leans R+3.3Not in average: taken before the primary (8 September)	9 Oct 2025 - 13 Oct 2025	1,034 LV	45%	42%	Pappas +3		Pollster
University of New Hampshire Leans D+2.2Not in average: taken before the primary (8 September)	17 Sep 2025 - 23 Sep 2025	1,235 LV	49%	43%	Pappas +6		Pollster
co/efficient R Leans R+3.3Not in average: taken before the primary (8 September)	10 Sep 2025 - 12 Sep 2025	904 LV	46%	43%	Pappas +3		Pollster
1892 Polling RPoll sponsored by One Nation , a group aligned with the Senate Leadership FundNot in average: taken before the primary (8 September)	2 Sep 2025 - 4 Sep 2025	500 LV	45%	43%	Pappas +2		Pollster

New Hampshire Senate 2026 results: Chris Pappas (D) vs John E. Sununu (R)

Result so far: 92% reporting

New Hampshire senate polling average

35 general election polls